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Red119
540155.4
27249.1
568434.2
Blue89
181145.2
465338.4
1014328.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1591295010020025011989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+8Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
22Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +6
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
61Total teleop55
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#18
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
119Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
#25
55.41.1
53.452.3
Auto7.7
Teleop41.7
End6.0
red by 10.2
1811
#32
45.21.8
46.144.3
Auto7.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0
Second
272
#14
49.11.1
49.948.7
Auto6.8
Teleop31.1
End11.2
red by 10.7
4653
#53
38.41.8
40.138.3
Auto11.6
Teleop18.6
End8.2
Third
5684
#35
34.21.1
32.731.5
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End8.6
red by 5.5
28.61.8
30.528.6
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned