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Red137
436126.2
599241.4
108951.3
Blue206
10364.5
171245.7
34180.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142229100200250300137206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+77
Endgame+75
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +70
13Coral scored#33
48Coral points118
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
24Processor points24
20Net points20
44Algae points44
92Total teleop162
Reef
7L4#12
4L3#9
3L2#11
3L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#46
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
6Foul points0
137Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#58
51.30.9
51.850.9
Auto15.5
Teleop33.3
End2.5
blue by 29.0
341
#1
80.30.4
77.778.1
Auto13.6
Teleop56.9
End9.8
Second
5992
#40
41.40.9
42.441.5
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End0.6
blue by 23.1
103
#13
64.50.4
61.461.8
Auto8.7
Teleop50.4
End5.4
Third
4361
#54
26.20.9
27.526.6
Auto7.1
Teleop11.0
End8.2
blue by 19.5
1712
#31
45.70.4
39.139.5
Auto7.1
Teleop31.3
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned77%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned