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Red263
589584.9
314260.3
34180.3
Blue218
108951.3
909459.8
121865.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240175150200250300263218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+47Teleop
+47Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
11Coral scored#10
56Coral points51
65Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +33
32Coral scored#23
116Coral points81
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#9
18Processor points12
28Net points36
46Algae points48
162Total teleop129
Reef
11L4#10
14L3#11
9L2#8
9L1 · trough#4
53Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points2
263Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.90.9
84.385.2
Auto25.3
Teleop51.0
End8.6
red by 19.0
65.90.9
65.266.1
Auto19.7
Teleop37.1
End9.1
Second
341
#1
80.30.9
79.780.6
Auto13.6
Teleop56.9
End9.8
red by 20.5
9094
#30
59.80.9
59.160.0
Auto14.1
Teleop37.7
End8.0
Third
3142
#24
60.30.9
59.760.6
Auto13.2
Teleop38.3
End8.7
red by 9.0
1089
#58
51.30.9
50.651.5
Auto15.5
Teleop33.3
End2.5