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Red205
331480.3
1159.8
260781.4
Blue164
36569.4
10364.5
139162.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227208160180200240260280300205164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+29Teleop
+49Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
11Coral scored#6
54Coral points30
54Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +11
25Coral scored#22
91Coral points78
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#6
12Processor points6
16Net points24
28Algae points30
119Total teleop108
Reef
12L4#9
10L3#10
9L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#35
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +41
6Foul points14
205Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.40.4
79.979.5
Auto19.2
Teleop50.4
End11.7
red by 12.0
365
#4
69.41.0
69.268.1
Auto13.7
Teleop47.2
End8.5
Second
3314
#15
80.30.4
78.878.4
Auto19.8
Teleop47.9
End12.6
red by 15.7
103
#13
64.51.0
64.363.3
Auto8.7
Teleop50.4
End5.4
Third
11
#26
59.80.4
58.357.9
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End8.0
blue by 2.5
1391
#19
62.31.0
63.162.0
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End8.7