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Red169
108951.3
909459.8
121865.9
Blue201
518156.0
540155.4
180759.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190186100150250300169201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points26
40Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +36
19Coral scored#26
69Coral points93
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#8
24Processor points24
20Net points32
44Algae points56
113Total teleop149
Reef
8L4#13
8L3#10
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
169Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.2
66.165.9
Auto19.7
Teleop37.1
End9.1
red by 6.8
1807
#39
59.10.7
59.360.0
Auto10.6
Teleop42.6
End5.9
Second
9094
#30
59.80.2
60.059.8
Auto14.1
Teleop37.7
End8.0
red by 3.8
56.00.7
56.256.8
Auto9.0
Teleop42.4
End4.6
Third
1089
#58
51.30.2
51.551.3
Auto15.5
Teleop33.3
End2.5
blue by 4.1
5401
#25
55.40.7
55.656.3
Auto7.7
Teleop41.7
End6.0