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Red126
594832.5
335424.6
610625.7
Blue131
347224.9
473130.6
571633.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94101708090110120130140126131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
21Coral scored#26
74Coral points93
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
112Total teleop111
Reef
10L4#11
7L3#9
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
126Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5948
#20
32.52.7
25.728.4
Auto4.7
Teleop25.5
End2.4
blue by 0.5
5716
#22
33.02.3
30.132.4
Auto3.9
Teleop26.9
End2.2
Second
6106
#21
25.72.0
23.325.3
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.2
blue by 4.9
4731
#19
30.61.9
25.627.4
Auto3.4
Teleop27.0
End0.1
Third
3354
#23
24.62.5
22.925.4
Auto4.6
Teleop18.8
End1.2
blue by 0.3
24.91.9
21.123.0
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed