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Red66
660814.3
660616.4
710230.7
Blue70
810520.4
460315.2
513321.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7975506070901001106670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+6Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
10Coral scored#7
37Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#4
6Processor points0
8Net points16
14Algae points16
51Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
66Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7102
#16
30.71.6
31.930.3
Auto4.1
Teleop25.2
End1.5
red by 9.0
5133
#13
21.70.5
22.221.7
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End2.7
Second
6606
#28
16.41.6
17.616.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 4.1
8105
#15
20.40.5
21.320.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End4.5
Third
6608
#29
14.31.7
16.114.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End0.8
blue by 0.9
4603
#24
15.20.5
15.715.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned