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Red157
473130.6
440056.2
664739.3
Blue115
497719.3
670231.0
594832.5
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1538850100200157115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +29
22Coral scored#21
78Coral points77
2Processor algae#2
10Net algae#3
12Processor points12
40Net points12
52Algae points24
130Total teleop101
Reef
6L4#6
11L3#8
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
2Foul points0
157Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.5
53.453.9
Auto16.4
Teleop34.5
End5.3
red by 23.7
5948
#20
32.51.2
28.429.6
Auto4.7
Teleop25.5
End2.4
Second
39.30.5
37.938.3
Auto3.5
Teleop35.2
End0.6
red by 8.3
6702
#10
31.01.2
26.928.1
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End1.7
Third
4731
#19
30.60.5
27.427.9
Auto3.4
Teleop27.0
End0.1
red by 11.3
4977
#17
19.31.0
18.319.3
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed