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Red70
228333.0
335424.6
588717.5
Blue66
473517.5
478220.3
951321.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91592040801001201401607066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+16Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points30
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
50Total teleop38
Reef
7L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
70Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.3
32.332.0
Auto6.3
Teleop22.5
End4.2
red by 11.3
9513
#30
21.71.0
19.620.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Second
3354
#23
24.60.4
25.425.0
Auto4.6
Teleop18.8
End1.2
red by 4.3
4782
#27
20.30.9
17.118.0
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End3.5
Third
17.50.3
17.016.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Level
4735
#11
17.50.9
17.118.0
Auto2.1
Teleop11.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned