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Red129
610625.7
463552.1
571633.0
Blue152
393325.4
634836.3
347868.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12715080100120140160180200129152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+25
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points23
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +22
18Coral scored#18
66Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#9
12Processor points12
12Net points36
24Algae points48
90Total teleop112
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#6
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
129Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.4
52.052.4
Auto11.8
Teleop31.2
End9.2
blue by 16.3
68.50.9
65.366.2
Auto13.4
Teleop45.4
End9.7
Second
5716
#22
33.00.5
32.432.9
Auto3.9
Teleop26.9
End2.2
blue by 3.3
6348
#12
36.30.8
34.735.5
Auto4.6
Teleop30.3
End1.4
Third
6106
#21
25.70.4
25.325.7
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.2
red by 0.3
3933
#31
25.40.8
24.425.2
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned