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Red64
906015.7
765320.7
921318.1
Blue104
829117.0
435529.6
703715.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61820204010012014064104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+40
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#11
33Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
51Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points30
64Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7653
#35
20.70.2
21.721.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End2.7
blue by 8.9
4355
#11
29.60.0
31.231.3
Auto4.1
Teleop21.4
End4.1
Second
9213
#36
18.10.2
13.714.0
Auto3.6
Teleop11.5
End3.0
red by 1.1
8291
#25
17.00.0
17.317.3
Auto3.0
Teleop13.3
End0.7
Third
9060
#30
15.70.2
14.514.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End1.8
blue by 0.1
7037
#15
15.80.0
14.814.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed