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Red141
440065.3
913443.8
829315.4
Blue62
949914.6
76698.2
571641.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1306905010015020014162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+77Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +56
20Coral scored#7
73Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
95Total teleop39
Reef
6L4#2
8L3#2
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
141Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.32.0
55.557.5
Auto18.9
Teleop39.9
End6.5
red by 23.8
41.40.2
34.033.8
Auto4.6
Teleop31.2
End5.6
Second
43.82.0
36.838.8
Auto7.4
Teleop34.2
End2.2
red by 29.2
9499
#41
14.60.4
18.418.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Third
8293
#32
15.43.3
15.819.1
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End1.9
red by 7.2
7669
#37
8.20.4
10.510.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned