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Red39
1056517.4
68964.5
477521.8
Blue81
701817.4
754627.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654902040801001201403981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+32
Endgame+36
Fouls+42
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +32
5Coral scored#12
18Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
22Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
6Foul points12
39Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4775
#21
21.81.7
20.919.2
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
blue by 5.6
7546
#14
27.40.9
24.925.8
Auto2.7
Teleop22.7
End2.0
Second
17.42.8
18.916.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End3.3
Level
7018
#38
17.41.4
13.915.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Third
6896
#42
4.52.8
7.74.9
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End0.9
blue by 4.4
8.91.4
5.57.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed