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Red163
373740.5
456139.8
842944.6
Blue163
949679.0
58755.6
453450.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11519150100150250163163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+20
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave9
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points35
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +8
23Coral scored#19
81Coral points67
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
24Processor points18
16Net points28
40Algae points46
121Total teleop113
Reef
9L4#11
7L3#6
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#36
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
163Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.6
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End1.4
blue by 34.5
79.0
Auto21.7
Teleop50.5
End6.8
Second
40.5
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End10.1
blue by 15.1
587
#4
55.6
Auto12.8
Teleop37.7
End5.1
Third
4561
#11
39.8
Auto8.1
Teleop22.9
End8.8
blue by 10.2
4534
#31
50.1
Auto13.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsMissed