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Red158
663931.3
650251.1
776351.0
Blue127
572748.2
205949.6
272434.0
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11713250100150200158127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+43Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
3Leave9
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points13
34Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +31
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points67
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
18Processor points12
32Net points12
50Algae points24
122Total teleop91
Reef
10L4#9
8L3#5
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
158Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#22
51.13.4
40.543.9
Auto8.3
Teleop41.9
End0.9
red by 1.5
49.60.5
47.147.7
Auto11.4
Teleop29.1
End9.1
Second
7763
#13
51.03.4
35.338.7
Auto14.3
Teleop35.1
End1.6
red by 2.8
5727
#15
48.20.5
41.141.6
Auto6.9
Teleop38.7
End2.5
Third
6639
#29
31.33.4
31.234.6
Auto4.6
Teleop25.7
End1.0
blue by 2.7
2724
#17
34.00.5
31.031.5
Auto8.0
Teleop20.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned