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Red123
929822.1
949679.0
929744.9
Blue95
456139.8
1007728.9
479558.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1501305010020025012395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+26Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points14
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +19
16Coral scored#11
57Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
89Total teleop70
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
123Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.01.2
80.078.8
Auto21.7
Teleop50.5
End6.8
red by 20.2
4795
#26
58.81.9
47.845.9
Auto12.3
Teleop45.7
End0.8
Second
9297
#12
44.91.2
34.233.0
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.5
red by 5.1
4561
#11
39.81.9
44.943.0
Auto8.1
Teleop22.9
End8.8
Third
9298
#28
22.11.2
21.220.0
Auto4.8
Teleop15.0
End2.3
blue by 6.9
28.91.9
26.124.2
Auto7.0
Teleop19.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed