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Red153
919826.2
58755.6
689438.6
Blue63
453450.1
350638.1
744319.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351125010015020015363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+80Teleop
+78Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
29Coral points4
29Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +64
21Coral scored#7
74Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
98Total teleop34
Reef
10L4#3
7L3#2
5L2#1
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
12Foul points0
153Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#4
55.61.5
52.053.4
Auto12.8
Teleop37.7
End5.1
red by 5.5
4534
#31
50.12.7
45.642.9
Auto13.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
Second
6894
#19
38.61.5
37.438.9
Auto5.6
Teleop31.6
End1.4
red by 0.5
38.12.7
35.332.5
Auto7.1
Teleop23.2
End7.8
Third
9198
#33
26.21.5
23.725.2
Auto4.6
Teleop19.5
End2.1
red by 7.2
7443
#25
19.02.7
17.414.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned