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Red235
272434.0
776351.0
949679.0
Blue61
1026012.3
672923.7
919826.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1897705010015025023561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+128Teleop
+146Endgame
+174Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
9Leave6
8Coral scored#1
42Coral points3
51Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +86
22Coral scored#8
78Coral points30
5Processor algae#0
6Net algae#4
30Processor points0
24Net points16
54Algae points16
132Total teleop46
Reef
11L4#4
9L3#2
7L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
41Game pieces#13
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +174
28Foul points0
235Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.01.7
76.978.7
Auto21.7
Teleop50.5
End6.8
red by 52.8
9198
#33
26.22.4
25.322.9
Auto4.6
Teleop19.5
End2.1
Second
7763
#13
51.01.7
44.746.4
Auto14.3
Teleop35.1
End1.6
red by 27.3
6729
#30
23.72.4
26.123.7
Auto2.9
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Third
2724
#17
34.01.7
33.835.5
Auto8.0
Teleop20.6
End5.4
red by 21.7
12.32.4
20.117.7
Auto5.9
Teleop5.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed