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Red159
58755.6
903257.9
264027.4
Blue130
900843.4
572748.2
205949.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146144130135140150155160165170159130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+29Teleop
+27Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave3
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points16
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +4
19Coral scored#18
69Coral points65
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
89Total teleop85
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#7
6L2#5
6L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +29
2Foul points0
159Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.90.3
58.158.5
Auto13.8
Teleop41.0
End3.2
red by 8.3
49.60.3
49.949.6
Auto11.4
Teleop29.1
End9.1
Second
587
#4
55.60.3
55.856.1
Auto12.8
Teleop37.7
End5.1
red by 7.4
5727
#15
48.20.3
48.548.3
Auto6.9
Teleop38.7
End2.5
Third
2640
#34
27.40.3
27.627.9
Auto3.0
Teleop22.1
End2.3
blue by 16.0
9008
#20
43.40.3
43.743.4
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End5.0