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Red140
842944.6
456139.8
479558.8
Blue131
350638.1
929744.9
776351.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15513750100200250140131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+13Teleop
+15Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave3
8Coral scored#6
39Coral points30
48Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +2
16Coral scored#15
58Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
76Total teleop78
Reef
10L4#8
6L3#5
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points6
140Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#26
58.80.0
58.358.3
Auto12.3
Teleop45.7
End0.8
red by 7.8
7763
#13
51.00.2
50.750.5
Auto14.3
Teleop35.1
End1.6
Second
44.60.0
44.144.0
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End1.4
blue by 0.4
9297
#12
44.90.2
44.644.4
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.5
Third
4561
#11
39.80.0
39.339.3
Auto8.1
Teleop22.9
End8.8
red by 1.7
38.10.2
37.737.5
Auto7.1
Teleop23.2
End7.8