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Red28
319621.0
572737.3
493513.8
Blue37
126232.6
693215.4
66396.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915601001502837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+9
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +5
5Coral scored#3
17Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
21Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points6
28Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.33.2
41.137.9
Auto5.7
Teleop29.6
End2.1
red by 4.7
32.61.3
29.928.6
Auto3.5
Teleop28.3
End0.7
Second
3196
#16
21.03.2
21.918.7
Auto2.4
Teleop18.5
End0.1
red by 5.7
6932
#19
15.41.3
16.114.8
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End6.2
Third
4935
#15
13.83.2
13.610.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.2
red by 6.9
6639
#24
6.91.3
4.83.4
Auto1.4
Teleop4.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned