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Red78
872729.9
453436.2
350619.6
Blue49
1007715.0
153342.3
560712.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93740501502002507849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+33Teleop
+31Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
20Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +26
12Coral scored#7
44Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
58Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points2
78Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4534
#12
36.20.6
36.135.5
Auto9.6
Teleop24.7
End2.0
blue by 6.0
42.31.8
40.138.3
Auto10.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
Second
29.90.6
29.729.1
Auto8.8
Teleop19.8
End1.2
red by 14.9
15.01.8
16.214.4
Auto4.6
Teleop9.9
End0.4
Third
19.60.6
16.015.4
Auto2.9
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 6.8
12.91.8
12.310.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed