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Red70
87576.5
58739.2
900511.2
Blue52
929818.8
915024.7
36809.4
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5051204060807052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +2
6Coral scored#8
22Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
36Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
12Foul points6
70Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#1
39.20.7
37.838.5
Auto9.6
Teleop25.4
End4.1
red by 14.5
24.70.1
20.320.4
Auto3.4
Teleop20.5
End0.7
Second
9005
#14
11.20.7
6.57.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 7.6
9298
#17
18.80.1
18.118.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
Third
8757
#18
6.50.7
3.44.1
Auto1.3
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 2.9
3680
#10
9.40.1
5.86.0
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed