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Red86
58739.2
453436.2
872729.9
Blue63
264011.6
12255.9
929818.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126210501001502002508663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+25Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
69Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
86Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#1
39.20.4
38.538.1
Auto9.6
Teleop25.4
End4.1
red by 20.4
9298
#17
18.80.6
18.218.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
Second
4534
#12
36.20.4
35.535.1
Auto9.6
Teleop24.7
End2.0
red by 24.6
2640
#21
11.60.6
11.011.6
Auto1.6
Teleop9.0
End1.0
Third
29.90.4
29.128.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.8
End1.2
red by 24.0
1225
#13
5.90.6
5.35.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End2.1