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Red105
153342.3
126232.6
900511.2
Blue63
693215.4
1007715.0
99963.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions943805015020010563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
19Coral scored#8
67Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
81Total teleop44
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points6
105Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.5
38.338.7
Auto10.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
red by 26.9
6932
#19
15.40.3
14.815.1
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End6.2
Second
32.60.5
28.629.1
Auto3.5
Teleop28.3
End0.7
red by 17.7
15.00.3
14.414.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.9
End0.4
Third
9005
#14
11.20.5
7.27.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End1.2
red by 7.8
9996
#11
3.40.5
2.42.9
Auto1.7
Teleop1.1
End0.5