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Red121
196741.5
879342.8
415940.4
Blue148
220436.7
541962.2
67048.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12916150100150200250121148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points27
43Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +38
13Coral scored#17
46Coral points62
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
12Processor points18
8Net points24
20Algae points42
66Total teleop104
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#6
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
121Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8793
#15
42.80.2
36.336.5
Auto10.5
Teleop27.7
End4.6
blue by 19.4
62.20.2
63.864.0
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End8.7
Second
1967
#17
41.50.2
39.239.4
Auto11.3
Teleop29.2
End0.9
blue by 6.6
670
#18
48.10.2
46.847.0
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End6.1
Third
4159
#12
40.40.2
43.143.3
Auto12.9
Teleop26.3
End1.1
red by 3.7
2204
#24
36.70.2
34.734.9
Auto8.8
Teleop25.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned