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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210165100150250300217165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+54Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points38
51Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +50
23Coral scored#19
82Coral points68
5Processor algae#3
10Net algae#4
30Processor points18
40Net points16
70Algae points34
152Total teleop102
Reef
14L4#10
8L3#7
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
217Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.60.8
75.576.3
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
red by 10.5
74.10.2
74.374.1
Auto15.8
Teleop49.2
End9.0
Second
190
#8
79.80.8
78.479.2
Auto21.8
Teleop49.0
End9.0
red by 37.7
155
#21
42.10.2
36.936.8
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End5.4
Third
237
#35
41.30.8
36.737.5
Auto8.2
Teleop30.7
End2.4
red by 2.8
1729
#48
38.50.2
42.342.2
Auto10.3
Teleop25.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned