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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18211350100150200250169134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+23Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points11
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +13
21Coral scored#23
77Coral points82
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
113Total teleop100
Reef
9L4#10
7L3#7
4L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
169Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#6
76.70.3
77.677.3
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
red by 30.4
663
#19
46.30.9
37.037.9
Auto6.1
Teleop37.8
End2.3
Second
63.20.3
59.359.0
Auto9.5
Teleop45.6
End8.1
red by 16.9
509
#40
46.30.9
38.239.2
Auto3.0
Teleop35.2
End8.1
Third
6153
#47
22.80.3
25.625.3
Auto2.2
Teleop13.2
End7.5
blue by 16.9
3182
#31
39.80.9
33.734.6
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned