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Qual 362025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red121
856738.3
264859.8
1006632.5
Blue183
712759.2
964455.1
910142.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11615850100200250121183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+52
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points27
29Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +48
18Coral scored#21
64Coral points76
2Processor algae#6
3Net algae#6
12Processor points36
12Net points24
24Algae points60
88Total teleop136
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#7
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
121Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#12
59.81.0
46.1→47.1
Auto9.8
Teleop45.6
End4.4
red by 0.7
7127
#13
59.22.8
50.7→53.5
Auto9.3
Teleop47.1
End2.8
Second
8567
#22
38.31.0
31.0→32.0
Auto6.5
Teleop30.1
End1.7
blue by 16.7
9644
#11
55.12.8
48.7→51.5
Auto8.8
Teleop43.8
End2.5
Third
10066
#41
32.51.0
28.8→29.8
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End1.6
blue by 9.5
9101
#25
42.12.8
40.9→43.8
Auto6.4
Teleop30.6
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned