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Qual 372025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red144
9560.2
404842.3
16657.5
Blue209
172136.2
13374.6
23058.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1821750100300400500600700800144209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+63
Endgame+65
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points35
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +49
15Coral scored#25
54Coral points89
2Processor algae#5
6Net algae#5
12Processor points30
24Net points20
36Algae points50
90Total teleop139
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#8
2L2#10
4L1 · trough#6
28Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points0
144Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#29
60.22.0
61.2→59.2
Auto20.4
Teleop33.4
End6.5
blue by 14.4
133
#9
74.62.8
65.2→67.9
Auto17.8
Teleop45.1
End11.8
Second
166
#24
57.52.0
57.2→55.1
Auto8.6
Teleop38.9
End9.9
blue by 1.3
230
#17
58.72.8
53.8→56.6
Auto17.1
Teleop33.2
End8.5
Third
4048
#46
42.32.0
40.5→38.4
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End7.2
red by 6.1
1721
#30
36.22.8
30.5→33.2
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsMissed68%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned