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Qual 382025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red150
870842.0
107353.9
199135.9
Blue110
456450.7
854421.7
206439.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142139100120160180150110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+48Teleop
+38Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +41
25Coral scored#14
91Coral points50
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
18Processor points18
12Net points12
30Algae points30
121Total teleop80
Reef
11L4#7
9L3#3
3L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
2Foul points0
150Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#16
53.90.2
47.1→47.3
Auto15.0
Teleop29.6
End9.3
red by 3.2
4564
#20
50.72.5
49.3→46.8
Auto10.5
Teleop40.0
End0.3
Second
8708
#7
42.00.2
34.6→34.9
Auto6.7
Teleop29.6
End5.7
red by 2.2
2064
#36
39.72.5
40.6→38.1
Auto7.6
Teleop23.4
End8.8
Third
1991
#42
35.90.2
28.8→29.0
Auto5.1
Teleop27.6
End3.1
red by 14.2
8544
#43
21.72.5
24.2→21.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned59%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned