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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10015550200129175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+46
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +32
20Coral scored#26
73Coral points93
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
18Processor points18
8Net points20
26Algae points38
99Total teleop131
Reef
7L4#14
7L3#9
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
129Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8626
#37
44.81.4
33.534.9
Auto7.3
Teleop34.5
End3.0
blue by 46.9
91.72.1
83.585.6
Auto21.8
Teleop59.7
End10.2
Second
1071
#28
40.51.4
29.130.5
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End4.4
red by 5.0
246
#32
35.52.1
29.031.1
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End2.1
Third
181
#39
35.11.4
25.226.6
Auto3.4
Teleop28.8
End2.9
red by 14.0
4925
#45
21.12.1
11.713.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned