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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171151100120140160180200220240179180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+9
+3Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
7Coral scored#8
34Coral points41
40Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +5
23Coral scored#22
81Coral points78
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
18Processor points18
12Net points20
30Algae points38
111Total teleop116
Reef
10L4#14
11L3#6
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#38
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
2Foul points6
179Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8013
#14
62.30.4
51.351.7
Auto9.6
Teleop44.8
End7.8
blue by 14.0
76.41.4
72.273.6
Auto21.5
Teleop45.8
End9.1
Second
2342
#10
60.70.4
59.259.7
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End6.7
red by 17.4
5422
#38
43.31.4
44.245.6
Auto9.8
Teleop28.5
End5.0
Third
2423
#27
47.70.4
48.949.3
Auto14.9
Teleop27.3
End5.4
red by 19.3
9710
#44
28.31.4
25.326.7
Auto6.8
Teleop19.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned67%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned