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Qual 412025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red74
318239.8
615322.8
715356.0
Blue135
1006632.5
910142.1
490971.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161705010015020025074135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+59
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave9
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
20Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +46
9Coral scored#15
32Coral points54
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
0Processor points12
8Net points20
8Algae points32
40Total teleop86
Reef
5L4#8
2L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
74Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7153
#33
56.02.3
48.8→46.5
Auto13.2
Teleop36.2
End6.6
blue by 15.7
4909
#23
71.80.7
72.1→71.4
Auto21.1
Teleop40.5
End10.2
Second
3182
#31
39.82.3
34.6→32.3
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End7.4
blue by 2.3
9101
#25
42.10.7
43.8→43.1
Auto6.4
Teleop30.6
End5.0
Third
6153
#47
22.82.3
25.3→22.9
Auto2.2
Teleop13.2
End7.5
blue by 9.7
10066
#41
32.50.7
29.8→29.1
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed90%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned