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Qual 42025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red170
107140.5
9560.2
57155.3
Blue125
237063.2
242347.7
1006632.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137137110120130150160170180170125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+53Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
6Leave9
7Coral scored#3
36Coral points17
42Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +37
18Coral scored#16
66Coral points57
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
24Processor points12
32Net points16
56Algae points28
122Total teleop85
Reef
8L4#8
8L3#6
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
170Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#29
60.22.7
57.4→60.1
Auto20.4
Teleop33.4
End6.5
blue by 3.0
2370
#5
63.20.3
58.7→58.4
Auto9.5
Teleop45.6
End8.1
Second
571
#15
55.32.7
44.3→47.0
Auto11.1
Teleop42.2
End2.1
red by 7.7
2423
#27
47.70.3
44.5→44.2
Auto14.9
Teleop27.3
End5.4
Third
1071
#28
40.52.7
27.4→30.2
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End4.4
red by 8.0
10066
#41
32.50.3
26.0→25.8
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned