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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60187010015025030072177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+93
Endgame+105
Fouls+105
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +76
11Coral scored#28
41Coral points99
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
55Total teleop131
Reef
4L4#15
3L3#10
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +105
0Foul points0
72Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9101
#25
42.10.7
38.938.3
Auto6.4
Teleop30.6
End5.0
blue by 32.5
133
#9
74.60.0
63.663.6
Auto17.8
Teleop45.1
End11.8
Second
4925
#45
21.10.7
16.916.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End1.9
blue by 39.7
2342
#10
60.70.0
56.056.0
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End6.7
Third
501
#18
19.90.7
15.114.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End4.1
blue by 30.8
4564
#20
50.70.0
46.246.2
Auto10.5
Teleop40.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed56%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned