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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159234100200250300211231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
9Coral scored#12
45Coral points58
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +15
30Coral scored#30
108Coral points109
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
18Processor points24
16Net points24
34Algae points48
142Total teleop157
Reef
17L4#15
8L3#10
7L2#11
7L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#52
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
2Foul points0
211Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.42.7
73.676.4
Auto21.5
Teleop45.8
End9.1
blue by 8.2
84.60.3
76.376.6
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
Second
2648
#12
59.82.7
47.149.8
Auto9.8
Teleop45.6
End4.4
blue by 14.2
74.10.3
74.174.4
Auto15.8
Teleop49.2
End9.0
Third
1071
#28
40.52.7
30.533.2
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End4.4
blue by 20.3
2342
#10
60.70.3
59.759.9
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned