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Qual 472025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red105
542243.3
24635.5
172136.2
Blue215
632991.7
50119.9
456450.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12518450100150200250105215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+80
Endgame+90
Fouls+110
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points37
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +66
17Coral scored#24
60Coral points86
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#10
6Processor points18
12Net points40
18Algae points58
78Total teleop144
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#7
4L2#8
3L1 · trough#7
24Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +110
0Foul points20
105Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#38
43.31.4
45.6→44.2
Auto9.8
Teleop28.5
End5.0
blue by 48.3
6329
#4
91.71.7
85.6→87.3
Auto21.8
Teleop59.7
End10.2
Second
1721
#30
36.21.4
34.1→32.7
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End8.4
blue by 14.5
4564
#20
50.71.7
47.7→49.3
Auto10.5
Teleop40.0
End0.3
Third
246
#32
35.51.4
31.1→29.7
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End2.1
red by 15.6
501
#18
19.91.7
19.9→21.6
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned