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Qual 502025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red149
715356.0
23741.3
50946.3
Blue157
107353.9
856738.3
404842.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14312850100200250149157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points28
23Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +3
17Coral scored#21
62Coral points75
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
102Total teleop99
Reef
11L4#13
4L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
149Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7153
#33
56.01.3
46.5→47.8
Auto13.2
Teleop36.2
End6.6
red by 2.1
1073
#16
53.92.3
47.4→49.6
Auto15.0
Teleop29.6
End9.3
Second
509
#40
46.31.3
39.0→40.2
Auto3.0
Teleop35.2
End8.1
red by 4.0
4048
#46
42.32.3
37.7→40.0
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End7.2
Third
237
#35
41.31.3
39.4→40.6
Auto8.2
Teleop30.7
End2.4
red by 2.9
8567
#22
38.32.3
31.8→34.1
Auto6.5
Teleop30.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned