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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180178120140160200220240196189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+21
+1Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
7Coral scored#10
37Coral points49
37Total auto58
Teleoperatedlevel
24Coral scored#19
87Coral points67
1Processor algae#5
6Net algae#5
6Processor points30
24Net points20
30Algae points50
117Total teleop117
Reef
9L4#7
12L3#12
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#39
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
6Foul points0
196Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#6
76.71.8
78.580.3
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
blue by 7.8
84.61.9
76.678.5
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
Second
8013
#14
62.31.8
52.153.9
Auto9.6
Teleop44.8
End7.8
blue by 12.3
133
#9
74.61.9
69.871.7
Auto17.8
Teleop45.1
End11.8
Third
3182
#31
39.81.8
32.334.1
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End7.4
red by 18.7
4925
#45
21.11.9
13.915.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned