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Qual 522025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red149
237063.2
206439.7
542243.3
Blue184
964455.1
632991.7
57155.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143203100250300149184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+45
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
7Coral scored#4
33Coral points20
36Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +58
14Coral scored#29
49Coral points105
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
18Processor points12
20Net points28
38Algae points40
87Total teleop145
Reef
9L4#10
7L3#10
4L2#7
1L1 · trough#6
29Game pieces#42
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
149Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#5
63.20.3
58.3→58.0
Auto9.5
Teleop45.6
End8.1
blue by 28.5
6329
#4
91.71.4
87.3→85.9
Auto21.8
Teleop59.7
End10.2
Second
5422
#38
43.30.3
44.2→44.0
Auto9.8
Teleop28.5
End5.0
blue by 12.0
571
#15
55.31.4
50.5→49.1
Auto11.1
Teleop42.2
End2.1
Third
2064
#36
39.70.3
38.3→38.1
Auto7.6
Teleop23.4
End8.8
blue by 15.3
9644
#11
55.11.4
52.4→51.0
Auto8.8
Teleop43.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsEarned76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned