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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218173100150200250300223174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+27Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
9Coral scored#8
45Coral points41
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +20
26Coral scored#26
94Coral points92
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
136Total teleop116
Reef
12L4#13
10L3#11
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#39
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
223Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#6
76.70.9
75.876.7
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
blue by 14.9
91.70.1
90.390.4
Auto21.8
Teleop59.7
End10.2
Second
76.40.9
78.179.0
Auto21.5
Teleop45.8
End9.1
red by 35.1
237
#35
41.30.1
40.440.6
Auto8.2
Teleop30.7
End2.4
Third
42.00.9
41.242.1
Auto6.7
Teleop29.6
End5.7
red by 13.7
9710
#44
28.30.1
27.127.3
Auto6.8
Teleop19.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned67%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned