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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132209100150250300132151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points28
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +11
15Coral scored#18
53Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
77Total teleop88
Reef
5L4#10
6L3#4
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
6Foul points0
132Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#16
53.90.4
54.654.2
Auto15.0
Teleop29.6
End9.3
blue by 20.7
133
#9
74.62.6
77.574.8
Auto17.8
Teleop45.1
End11.8
Second
1721
#30
36.20.4
36.636.2
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End8.4
blue by 11.5
2423
#27
47.72.6
50.347.7
Auto14.9
Teleop27.3
End5.4
Third
6153
#47
22.80.4
23.222.8
Auto2.2
Teleop13.2
End7.5
blue by 20.5
5422
#38
43.32.6
45.943.3
Auto9.8
Teleop28.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned