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Qual 902025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red111
206439.7
1006632.5
404842.3
Blue174
24635.5
264859.8
862644.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12515150100200250111174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+77
Endgame+65
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave3
4Coral scored#5
22Coral points27
22Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +69
14Coral scored#27
51Coral points96
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#5
12Processor points24
8Net points20
20Algae points44
71Total teleop140
Reef
9L4#15
5L3#5
2L2#8
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#41
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
2Foul points0
111Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#46
42.30.5
42.8→42.3
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End7.2
blue by 17.5
2648
#12
59.82.8
56.7→59.6
Auto9.8
Teleop45.6
End4.4
Second
2064
#36
39.70.5
40.2→39.7
Auto7.6
Teleop23.4
End8.8
blue by 5.0
8626
#37
44.82.8
41.9→44.8
Auto7.3
Teleop34.5
End3.0
Third
10066
#41
32.50.5
33.0→32.5
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End1.6
blue by 3.0
246
#32
35.52.8
32.7→35.5
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed