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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17112250100150200250164124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
16Coral scored#19
57Coral points68
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
101Total teleop92
Reef
6L4#7
9L3#6
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
164Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.60.5
84.885.3
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
red by 38.3
663
#19
46.30.2
46.146.3
Auto6.1
Teleop37.8
End2.3
Second
155
#21
42.10.5
41.742.1
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End5.4
Level
9101
#25
42.10.2
41.842.1
Auto6.4
Teleop30.6
End5.0
Third
501
#18
19.90.5
19.419.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End4.1
blue by 1.8
8544
#43
21.70.2
21.421.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned