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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12918010015020025099182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+30
Teleop+55
Endgame+55
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +30
0Leave9
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points30
9Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +25
14Coral scored#20
52Coral points71
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
74Total teleop99
Reef
8L4#12
3L3#8
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points28
99Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#11
62.91.6
58.456.8
Auto7.8
Teleop48.9
End6.2
blue by 13.8
76.60.3
67.467.1
Auto13.1
Teleop53.0
End10.5
Second
8724
#27
39.51.6
34.432.8
Auto6.0
Teleop30.6
End2.9
blue by 11.5
131
#26
51.00.3
47.547.2
Auto11.5
Teleop35.7
End3.8
Third
238
#45
31.11.6
29.728.2
Auto3.6
Teleop26.1
End1.4
blue by 14.2
7869
#35
45.30.3
43.943.6
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned