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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192181140160200220240260204206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +22
0Leave0
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points29
51Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +24
19Coral scored#31
67Coral points111
4Processor algae#2
9Net algae#7
24Processor points12
36Net points28
60Algae points40
127Total teleop151
Reef
9L4#9
11L3#15
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#46
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
204Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#7
71.30.6
63.764.4
Auto20.8
Teleop45.3
End5.3
blue by 7.0
78.41.4
72.774.1
Auto19.1
Teleop51.4
End7.9
Second
58
#14
63.90.6
62.363.0
Auto11.6
Teleop43.2
End9.1
red by 1.1
1699
#11
62.91.4
61.362.7
Auto7.8
Teleop48.9
End6.2
Third
5142
#18
56.90.6
57.057.6
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End7.4
red by 11.0
8410
#16
45.91.4
39.641.1
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
65%Coral oddsEarned71%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned