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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12419350100150250300106164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+50
Fouls+58
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +34
18Coral scored#16
63Coral points59
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#10
12Processor points18
8Net points40
20Algae points58
83Total teleop117
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#5
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +26
4Cage & park30
4Total endgame30
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points8
106Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4311
#22
40.01.2
39.338.1
Auto7.3
Teleop24.2
End8.5
blue by 35.0
74.91.0
75.874.7
Auto17.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
Second
151
#46
33.11.2
31.230.0
Auto8.8
Teleop25.1
End-0.8
blue by 10.9
3146
#20
44.11.0
42.041.0
Auto8.6
Teleop27.1
End8.4
Third
238
#45
31.11.2
33.232.0
Auto3.6
Teleop26.1
End1.4
blue by 1.5
8023
#33
32.61.0
34.833.7
Auto3.7
Teleop24.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned