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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193181100150250188173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
Teleop+5
+5Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave3
12Coral scored#5
58Coral points27
61Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +36
15Coral scored#26
55Coral points93
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
91Total teleop127
Reef
8L4#14
8L3#6
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
10Foul points0
188Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.50.5
70.269.6
Auto22.0
Teleop38.1
End7.4
blue by 12.8
195
#6
80.30.8
74.373.5
Auto20.1
Teleop50.3
End9.9
Second
78
#13
61.20.5
59.959.4
Auto18.5
Teleop33.8
End9.0
red by 15.9
7869
#35
45.30.8
48.347.5
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.9
Third
34.10.5
31.631.1
Auto8.0
Teleop18.5
End7.6
blue by 5.7
9443
#10
39.80.8
36.235.4
Auto5.1
Teleop25.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsMissed65%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned