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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134165100150200250121173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+54
Endgame+46
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave3
4Coral scored#7
19Coral points36
19Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +34
13Coral scored#26
46Coral points94
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#5
12Processor points6
28Net points20
40Algae points26
86Total teleop120
Reef
4L4#16
7L3#8
2L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#39
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
2Foul points8
121Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8046
#12
56.51.4
54.052.6
Auto11.5
Teleop36.7
End8.2
blue by 20.1
76.60.4
74.574.9
Auto13.1
Teleop53.0
End10.5
Second
173
#29
44.61.4
46.945.5
Auto9.3
Teleop33.6
End1.7
red by 3.7
5459
#31
40.90.4
40.340.7
Auto9.0
Teleop31.2
End0.7
Third
5735
#41
29.21.4
25.524.0
Auto6.5
Teleop20.9
End1.8
blue by 3.6
175
#34
32.80.4
30.430.8
Auto7.2
Teleop22.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned